Liberian Election Modeling

George Mason University

Program on Peacekeeping Policy

and

World Vision International

Author: Professor D.F. Davis, Senior Fellow, The Institute of Public Policy, George Mason University. Mail Stop 3C6, 4400 University Drive, Fairfax, Virginia, 22030-4444, USA. (703) 993-1703, (703) 993-1574 Fax, ddavis@gmu.edu.

Contibuting Authors: Ambassador Walter E. Stadtler, Mr. Gerald S. Rose, The Institute of Public Policy, George Mason University. Mr. Dayton Maxwell, Senior Project Officer, World Vision International. Mr. Davin Bremner, The Institute for Conflict Analysis and Resolution, George Mason University was the Graduate Research Assistant for this effort.


Table of Contents

Table of Contents iii

List of Figures iii

List of Tables iii

Introduction 1

Background 2

The Conflict in Liberia 2

The Conceptual Model of Peace Operations 3

Process 5

General Paradigm 5

Initial Roundtable and Group of Experts 6

Monrovian Workshop 6

Building the sub-model 6

Building the Critical Path Model 7

Follow on activities 7

Summary 8

Appendix A: Participants and Side Meetings A-1

Appendix B: CMPO Elections Sub-Model B-1

Appendix C: Liberian Elections CPM C-1

List of Figures

Figure 1: CMPO Decomposition 4

Figure 2: Summary CPM C-1

List of Tables

Table 1: Workshop Participants A-1

Table 2: Side Meetings A-2

able 3: Functional Hierarcy, Day 2 B-1

Table 4: Election Organizations B-5

Table 5: Election Model Linkages to CMPO B-5

Table 6: CPM Full Task List C-1

Table 7: Critical Tasks Only C-8


Introduction

The Program on Peacekeeping Policy (POPP) and World Vision International (WVI) are engaged in an attempt to answer the following question: Can information technology be used to facilitate conflict resolution? The approach to answering this question has led in the direction of using the Conceptual Model of Peace Operation (CMPO) to provide the source for operational models that are used in support of various peace processes. Resolution and reconciliation, if they are to occur at all, will happen during the workshops and seminars leading up to the development of the various information tools as well as during the transparent use of these tools by all parties to the conflict.

The opportunity arose for a pilot study to be conducted that would begin to answer the question. This opportunity was brought about by funding from the Pew Charitable Trust through WVI for both WVI and POPP to engage in the peace process in Liberia. An attempt was to be made to conduct a workshop in Monrovia, Liberia on the upcoming elections. The most recent peace accord on Liberia, held in Abuja, had mandated an election for the 30th of May, 1997. The feasibility of this election was very much in doubt by the international community as well as the major actors within Liberia.

The purposes of the workshop were:

To provide the Liberians responsible for the election process with a tool that would be useful in the planning process for the elections. And,

To provide the Liberians with a venue and a process for reconciliation and problem definition in general support of the resolution of the underlying conflicts.

The general process to be followed was to use the CMPO as a context for a sub-model for the Liberian Election Process. This sub-model would then be used as the requirements list, initial task list, of the Critical Path Model that would then be finished and left with the Liberian Election officials.

The remainder of this paper will report on the degree to which these purposes were held out and suggestions for future workshops. The bottom line for POPP and WVI is that the Liberian workshops appear to be highly successful in the first purpose. The first purpose and objective of leaving a useful tool were fully met. The second purpose and objective of contributing to overall resolution was only partially met (as can be determined at this time). However, that the workshop process contributed is not in doubt, only the degree.

Background

The Conflict in Liberia

Roots of the Conflict;

From the outset on Christmas eve 1989, the current Liberian conflict has been a raw attempt to seize wealth and power. Neither political philosophy nor long-running historical tribal clashes were at the roots of the war. The proximate cause of the uprising can be traced Samuel Doe's 1980 coup which overthrew the continuous autocratic and corrupt rule of the country by its Americo-Liberian founders. Doe's excesses following the 1985 failed counter-coup introduced a tribal-ethnic component which enabled Charles Taylor to easily recruit a cadre of Nimba County Gios and Manos to fight against Doe's predominantly Kahn AFL (Armed Forces of Liberia).

Doe's ten years of power were marked by corruption far worse than that of the previous Americo-Liberian administrations. Therefore, when Taylor began his efforts to unseat Doe, the vast majority of Liberians supported him. Taylor quickly lost much of his popular support because of the atrocities committed by his forces and the transparency of his raw quest for wealth and power. In 1990, because of atrocities against many West Africans and other national self interests, an ECOWAS (Economic Union of West African States) force was deployed to stop the blood bath. About 1/3 of the pre-conflict population of 2.4 million fled the country, most to near-by countries. The population of Monrovia swelled to about 800,000 - 1,200,000. The remainder stayed in place or were dislocated within the country.

1990-Present:

Once ECOMOG (ECOWAS Military Observer Group) established a secure perimeter around Monrovia, Liberia effectively was divided into two countries; Monrovia administered by the Interim Government of National Unity (IGNU) of Amos Sawyer and "Greater Liberia" run by Charles Taylor and his NPFL. As time passed, additional factions arose. Some disappeared or became ineffective, others became major players.

Most of the period was characterized by "no peace-no war". However, isolated atrocities and human rights abuses by all factions continued. There have been two notable exceptions to the uneasy stability. In October 1992 and April 1996. In 1992, Taylor's NPFL attacked ECOMOG and again attempted to seize Monrovia by force. He almost succeeded. However, ECOMOG defeated his forces and by February 1993 had expanded the Monrovia perimeter. During this period, ECOMOG actively supported and strengthened factions opposing Taylor. In April of 1996, factional fighting broke out in Monrovia and raged unabated for about two months. During most of this time ECOMOG stood aside and allowed the unrest to continue.

Currently (February, 1997), a transitional government is in place. Each of the major faction.: NPFL (Taylor). ULIMO-K (Krohma), and LPC (Bailey) are on the transitional executive counsel along with three "neutral" representatives. The counsel is chaired by Ruth Perry, an ex-senator.

Disarmament of the faction fighters by ECOMOG is underway. However, factions still control areas of the country and the faction leaders continue to benefit from the resources of the area they controls (primarily foreign currency producers: diamonds, gold, timber and rubber). Therefore, free access throughout the country is not yet established. Liberians recognize that complete and total disarmament probably will not be accomplished before the date set by ECOWAS for the national elections, May 30.

The Future

The future remains in doubt and there are individuals / groups which can easily disrupt the peace process. However, the peace process probably has a better chance of success than ever before because the Liberian body politic has made compromises and reached consensus about major elements of the process. The divergent political parties have formed an alliance which plans to run a unified slate in the elections. Probably most important, while not expressly stated, the international community appears to have sent the message to all Liberians and their leaders that the process will succeed this time or they will abandon Liberia. The international community appears to have the will to enforce certain elements of the process.

The Conceptual Model of Peace Operations

The CMPO was initially developed under contract to the Office of the Secretary of Defense's Program Analysis and Evaluation Directorate. Version 1.0 of the CMPO was delivered to the government on the 25th of September, 1996.

The CMPO is a top down decomposition of the domain of Peace Operations. At its highest level, it identifies the processes of Peace Operations as Peace Making, Peace Building and Peace Support. Each of these processes is further refined (to as many as nine levels of decomposition) in order to determine the complete definition of the process. All of the constituent sub-processes and functions are included along with the relationships and linkages between the sub-processes. Figure 1 below shows the decomposition of the CMPO down the Peace Building side to the point that the Elections Sub-Model would be built.

This figure demonstrates the top down approach of the CMPO. The ellipse in the upper right of the figure represents the highest level of the CMPO, showing Peace Operations as consisting of Peace Making, which is assisted by Peace Building and Peace Support. Peace Making is considered to include the processes of conflict resolution, management and or transformation. Peace Making is that primary function of a Peace Operation where the parties are brought together and agreements are made. All other aspects of a Peace Operation should be subordinated to Peace Making.

The root or fundamental causes and on going exacerbating processes are addressed by the sub-process of Peace Building. It is this process that will ultimately contain the elections sub-model. Figure 1 demonstrates how Peace Building is decomposed to include Self Governance, and Self Governance is decomposed to include Election Support. Election Support will then be developed into a fully defined election sub-model relevant for Liberia.

Figure 1: CMPO Decomposition

The final process of the CMPO is Peace Support. Peace Support contains the sub-processes of Observation, Command and Control, Force, Logistics, Liaison, Presence and Security. These processes are normally, although not always, conducted by military or police forces.

The central purpose of the CMPO in this application is to provide the context for the elections sub-model. The CMPO identifies relationships between Refugee Activities and Self Governance, between Security and Observation and Election Support, and many other relationships and linkages. These relationships and linkages then inform the sub-model building process and the linkages can be inherited if appropriate. It is this sharing of context that makes the CMPO sub-model approach preferable to a direct approach to an operational model. The shared links provide the builder with a rich and confirmed 'check list' of other processes that need to be considered. And, to some extent, how those processes interact and impact the sub-process being modeled.

Process

General Paradigm

In general, a workshop will be conducted in four phases, and developed in two phases. The initial development requires that a theme, or problem be identified that is judged approachable. Once this problem or theme has been identified, in the case of Liberia this problem was the scheduling of the election process, then the full development process begins with a group of experts round table. During this round table, the problem is explored and potential CMPO application areas are identified.

Following the group of experts round table and initial review of the CMPO, a draft sub-model of the CMPO is developed by the team and potential operational models are identified. If possible, a trip to the conflict area to discuss the problem and coming workshop is conducted in order to clarify the issues and better prepare the workshop team. This initial visit will greatly assist in identifying the incountry support team and, more importantly, the potential participants to the workshops. Final preparation based on the reconnaissance trip will prepare the team for the workshops. The Liberian model did not make use of this reconnaissance due to funding limitations.

The actual phases of the workshops are: Leadership and stakeholder inoculation; CMPO sub-modeling for requirements definition; Model translation to operational form; and, Exercising the operational model. Follow on activities will vary by location, theme and incountry capabilities.

Leadership inoculation is the process of pre-workshop briefings and discussions with local leaders and intervenors. The purpose of these discussions is to ensure that all parties (first, second, or third) are made fully aware of the purposes, procedures, participants, and potentials of the workshops. These sessions enhance the overall transparency of the process and assist the workshop team in understanding the interplay of personalities in the area.

The actual workshop process begins with the definition phase using the CMPO sub-modeling technique. The CMPO sub-model is then transitions into a pre-identified operational model, and this operational model is then exercised. It is during the exercising of the operational model that the problem resolution, or further refinement can occur. As the participants work with the operational model and pose various 'what if' questions together, some answers and some consensus may develop.

Initial Roundtable and Group of Experts

An initial roundtable on Liberia was held on the 19th of August, 1996. The meeting focused on reaching consensus on a few central issues which, if left unresolved, would disrupt the ongoing peacekeeping efforts. By keeping the discussion group small, collegial, and representative, we were able to reach conclusions and recommendations which were accepted by those working to resolve the Liberian problem.

The primary finding of this round table was the centrality of the election process as agreed to in the Abuja Accords. The controversy over schedule, type, and participation in the elections was immediately a candidate for the modeling paradigm discussed in this report. This roundtable was recorded and a transcript maintained for further research.

No one group can be expert in all aspects of a peace operation. This would be impossible. The CMPO helps to identify functions and processes, but this structure is only as good as the knowledge and competence of those involved in the development of that section of the CMPO. Because of this, a second seminar was held prior to going to Liberia. This seminar brought together Liberians in the Washington, D.C. area, experts from the Departments of State and Defense, as well as representatives of NGOs and IOs. During this seminar, straw-models were constructed and discussed in detail. This pre-modeling allowed the workshop facilitation team to anticipate problem areas and to provide impartial guidance when asked. It is clear that the effectiveness of the CMPO process on the ground is directly proportional to the amount of preparation time spent prior to going to the field. The second seminar was held 19 December, 1996.

Monrovian Workshop

During January of 1997, GMU/TIPP and WVI held a four day workshop in Monrovia for the purpose of providing election planning assistance to the Liberian people. This workshop was a pilot for the type of intervention being planned for other locations.

Building the sub-model

The general framework required that the participating Liberians construct a detailed sub-model of the CMPO in the area of interest. This was accomplished by the use of standard outlining techniques with the background of the relationships and linkages of the CMPO. The Participants did not need to understand the workings of the CMPO software, only to understand the concepts of processes, functions and linkages. They were able to grasp these concepts with no difficulty after a very short tutorial on a related subject, and were quite comfortable working with the graphical representations. The details of this model may be found in Appendix B.

For example, the detail of the linkages of the reintegration and disarmament processes into the election processes were highlighted by the CMPO, as was the need for economic reform and eventual job building activities. The latter two were seen as results of a successful free and fair election as opposed to pre-requisites. Once all of the processes of the election were elicited from the participants and placed within the structure of the CMPO it could be said that a complete problem definition had been achieved. This pre-modeling effort allowed the group to develop the specific detail in such a way that the result was transparent and readily understood by all participants to the workshop.

Building the Critical Path Model

The second half of the workshop was dedicated to translating the problem statement of the CMPO sub-model into a problem solving application. GMU/TIPP chose the technique of Critical Path Modeling (CPM) to operationalize the election process. CPM is an established management tool for determining the required tasks, durations, linkages, and resource requirements of a complicated project. The CMPO sub-model became the task list, and the sub-model linkages informed the initial task linkage (precedence) relationships. Durations were added to the lowest level functions of the CPM and the result was re-validated by all participants. Details of the CPM may be found in Appendix C.

The final day of the workshop was dedicated to a review of what the CPM could be used for. Questions of concurrent work vs. sequential activity were addressed, as were questions about prerequisites for the conduct of specific functions. For example: The date of the voting in the initial model was later in the year than called for by the Abuja Accords. The participants were able to identify tasks and durations in the CPM that could be adjusted to move the voting to a more desirable date. This movement was conducted within the full view and participation of all members of the workshop, thereby understanding the assumptions that were being made and contributing to the overall transparency of this process.

Follow on activities

Although the funding structure did not allow for a full follow up and return visit, the team was able to arrange for an in country support team. This team is made up of technicians from the local office of World Vision Liberia and a modeler from the Jeffrey's Group in Monrovia. Copies of the CPM model were left with the American Embassy, the Council of State, and with the support team.

A broad distribution of the local report with schedule was made prior to the teams departure from Monrovia. This distribution of the report, along with the incountry support team, should allow for minimal follow up activity. Additional funding for a follow up trip is being sought in order to conduct some management seminars on the use of the model in light of recent events and future difficulties.

Summary

The overall two step process proposed (CMPO sub-model for requirements definition followed by an off-the-shelf operational model for problem solution) seems to have effectively contributed to the election process in Liberia. The three fold goals of providing a tool that was: Useable, Specific, and Transparent were achieved. The results of the effort are now in the hands of many Liberians of all factions and parties and work is underway to follow the process and to provide configuration management of the CPM in country using indigenous NGO capability.

Appendix A: Participants and Side Meetings

Table 1: Workshop Participants


Wesley M. Johnson         UPP                                

Joseph S. Guannu          LPP                                

Isaac D. Dikenah Sr.      NDPL                               

J. Dallamah Sulonteh      LUP                                

Othello Mason             TWP                                

Joseph Derrick            UP                                 

James G. Kiazolu          Press Union                        

Alaric K.Tokpa            University of Liberia              

Andre Pope                Elections Commission               

Helena Chieh              Elections Commission               

Mary Brownell             Liberian Women's Initiative        

Ophelia Hoff Saytumah     Liberian Federation of Women       

William Dweh              LBS                                

David Kiazolu             Interfaith Council                 

Philip Pardi              LPC                                

Weade Kobbah-Wureh        LRRRC                              

E.C.B. Jones Jr.          Office of Ruth Perry               

Kwretu Nepe               MODEL                              

T. Titus Charley          Office of Tamba Taylor             

Amadou Sheriff            ULIMO-K                            

D. Dee Chelley            ULIMO-J                            

Conmany B. Wesseh         CEDE/PADF                          

Blamoh Nelson             ARAD                               

Joseph D.C. Jaycheneh     LINDEM                             

Moses N. Teah             LINDEM                             

Sleweon Nepe              University of Liberia              

Ansu S. Konneh            National Newspaper                 

Myrtle Gibson             LICHICO                            

D. Karn Carlor            NRC                                

S. Kofi Woods             Catholic Justice and Peace         
                          Commission                         

Suku Wesseh               PADF                               

Fatu Gittens-White        Liberian Business Association      

Ansumana Kromah           RAP                                

Mulbah Duwana             Heritage Newspaper                 

Gloria Scott              Election Commission                

Carol Jeffrey             The Jeffrey Group                  

John Decatur              World Vision                       

Ambassador Walter         Program on Peacekeeping Policy     
Stadtler                                                     

Jerry Rose                Program on Peacekeeping Policy     

Professor Dave Davis      Program on Peacekeeping Policy     

Dayton Maxwell            World Vision                       

Davin Bremner             Inst. for Conflict Analysis and    
                          Resolution                         



Table 2: Side Meetings


            Liberians                                          

Mrs Ruth Perry                    Chairman of Council of       
                                  State                        

Dr. Amos Sawyer                   Ex President of IGNU         

Dr. Tipoteh                       Prominant Liberian           

Mr. Charles Taylor                NPFL                         

Mr. Alhaji Kroma                  ULIMO-K                      

Mr. George Bolley                 LPC                          

Mr. Baccus Mathews                Prominant Liberian           

Mr. J.T. Richardson               Prominant Liberian (NPFL)    

Elections Commission                                           

Interfaith Mediation Council                                   




   International Community in                                  
Monrovia                                           

European Commission                                            

Amb.  Milam                       US Ambassador                

MG Malu                           Force Commander, ECOMOG      

Mr.  Nyakyi                       SRSG, UNOMIL                 

MG Shami                          CMO, UNOMIL                  

Amb. Kouyate                      ASG, UNDPA                   




 International Community outside                               
of Liberia                                          

US Embassy, Abidjan                                            

African Development Bank,                                      
Abidjan                                                        

French Foreign Ministry, Paris                                 

Dutch Foreign Ministry, The                                    
Hague                                                          

World Vision Netherlands, The                                  
Hague                                                          

World Vision UK, London                                        



Appendix B: CMPO Elections Sub-Model

This Appendix lists the elements of the Election Sub-Model as they were developed at the end of day 2 of the workshop. Some of these functions were later changed during the developement of the Critical Path Model and will be shown in Appendix C. The third colum of the table contains the CMPO functional number. If this third column is blank, then this function was added at the end of day two during a final validation and update process in the workshop plenar.

Table 3: Functional Hierarcy, Day 2


1     Election Support:                                    3.2.4.5          

2     Decision Issues:                                     3.2.4.5.1        

3     Commitment:                                          3.2.4.5.1.1      

4     Expressions of Committments                                           

5     Actions                                                               

6     Issues of Agreement:                                 3.2.4.5.1.2      

7     Cease Fire                                                            

8     Disengagement                                                         

9     Disarmament / Demobilization:                        3.2.4.5.1.2.1    

10    Resettlement:                                        3.2.4.5.1.2.2    

11    Repatriation:                                        3.2.4.5.1.2.3    

12    Readjustment:                                        3.2.4.5.1.2.4    

13    Issues of Law:                                       3.2.4.5.1.3      

14    Determine Constitutionality:                         3.2.4.5.1.3.1    

15    Establish Residency requirements:                    3.2.4.5.1.3.1.1  

16    Determine Type or System of Election:                3.2.4.5.1.3.1.2  

17    Determine requirements for Absentee Balloting:       3.2.4.5.1.3.1.3  

18    Determine Requirements for Party Registration:       3.2.4.5.1.3.1.4  

19    Build Confidence in Election Commission:             3.2.4.5.1.3.2    

20    Ensure Independence and Impartiality:                3.2.4.5.1.3.2.1  

21    Staff and Resources:                                 3.2.4.5.1.3.2.2  

22    Establish/Create Detailed Plan:                      3.2.4.5.1.3.2.3  

23    Make Decision on Census:                             3.2.4.5.1.3.3    

24    Obtain Census:                                       3.2.4.5.1.3.4    

25    Conduct Population Survey:                           3.2.4.5.1.3.5    

26    Issues of Action:                                    3.2.4.5.1.4      

27    Determine Access Requirements:                       3.2.4.5.1.4.1    

28    Determine Status of Winners and Losers:              3.2.4.5.1.4.2    

29    Identify Rules and Procedures:                       3.2.4.5.2        

30    Determine Offices to be contested:                   3.2.4.5.2.1      

31    Choose General Election:                             3.2.4.5.2.1.1    

32    Choose Special Election:                             3.2.4.5.2.1.2    

33    Determine various qualifications:                    3.2.4.5.2.2      

34    Determine Qualifications of Voters:                  3.2.4.5.2.2.1    

35    Determine Qualifications of Parties:                 3.2.4.5.2.2.2    

36    Determine Qualifications of Candidates:              3.2.4.5.2.2.3    

37    Campaign and Nomination Procedures:                  3.2.4.5.2.3      

38    Parties Nominate Candidates in Convention:           3.2.4.5.2.3.1    

39    Independent Candidates via Petition:                 3.2.4.5.2.3.2    

40    Certify Candidates:                                  3.2.4.5.2.3.3    

41    Create / Disseminate Candidate Code of conduct:      3.2.4.5.2.3.4    

42    Balloting and Counting Procedures:                   3.2.4.5.2.4      

43    Confirm / redesign Balloting Procedures:             3.2.4.5.2.4.1    

44    Confirm / redesign Counting Procedures:              3.2.4.5.2.4.2    

45    Post Election Commission Requirements:               3.2.4.5.2.5      

46    Determine Procedure for Determination of winners:    3.2.4.5.2.5.1    

47    Determine Procedure for Certification:               3.2.4.5.2.5.2    

48    Determine Procedure for the investigation of claims  3.2.4.5.2.5.3    
      and irregularities:                                                   

49    Determine need for run off election                                   

50    Determine Procedures for the Announcment of          3.2.4.5.2.5.4    
      Results:                                                              

51    Perform Election Management:                         3.2.4.5.3        

52    Establish Election Management Procedures:            3.2.4.5.3.1      

53    Review Election Law:                                 3.2.4.5.3.1.1    

54    Amend Election Law if neccessary:                    3.2.4.5.3.1.2    

55    Provide for independent oversight:                   3.2.4.5.3.1.3    

56    Provide for adjudication of disputes:                3.2.4.5.3.1.4    

57    Provide lists of births and deaths:                  3.2.4.5.3.1.5    

58    Provide lists of disenfranchized:                    3.2.4.5.3.1.6    

59    Establish Election Support Procedures:               3.2.4.5.3.2      

60    Provide for internal election support mechanisms:    3.2.4.5.3.2.1    

61    Coordinate Election Support with international       3.2.4.5.3.2.2    
      community:                                                            

62    Establish Election Oversight Procedures:             3.2.4.5.3.3      

63    Oversight by Parties and Candidates:                 3.2.4.5.3.3.1    

64    Oversight by Media:                                  3.2.4.5.3.3.2    

65    Oversight by Interest Groups:                        3.2.4.5.3.3.3    

66    Oversight by International Community:                3.2.4.5.3.3.4    

67    Identify Funding and Resources:                      3.2.4.5.4        

68    Determine Where Funding is Needed:                   3.2.4.5.4.1      

69    Determine Costs for Communication:                   3.2.4.5.4.1.1    

70    Determine Costs for Media and PR:                    3.2.4.5.4.1.2    

71    Determine Costs for Rents:                           3.2.4.5.4.1.3    

72    Determine Costs for Personnel:                       3.2.4.5.4.1.4    

73    Determine Costs for Stationery:                      3.2.4.5.4.1.5    

74    Determine Costs for Printing:                        3.2.4.5.4.1.6    

75    Determine Costs for local transportation:            3.2.4.5.4.1.7    

76    Determine Costs for Office Supplies and Equipment:   3.2.4.5.4.1.8    

77    Determine Costs for Computers:                       3.2.4.5.4.1.9    

78    Determine expenses for Security:                     3.2.4.5.4.1.10   

79    Determine Expenses for Public Education:             3.2.4.5.4.1.11   

80    Accumulate Total Cost:                               3.2.4.5.4.1.12   

81    Determine Where Funding can be found:                3.2.4.5.4.2      

82    Determine funding available from GOL:                3.2.4.5.4.2.1    

83    Determine funding available from International       3.2.4.5.4.2.2    
      Community:                                                            

84    Energize Funding sources:                            3.2.4.5.4.3      

85    Conduct Voter Registration:                          3.2.4.5.5        

86    Determine length of time and dates for               3.2.4.5.5.1      
      registration:                                                         

87    Demarcate Constituencies:                            3.2.4.5.5.2      

88    Compile demographic data                                              

89    Compile geographic data                                               

90    Decide location of registration stations:            3.2.4.5.5.3      

91    Establish registration locations:                    3.2.4.5.5.4      

92    Build Electoral Rolls:                               3.2.4.5.5.5      

93    Find Existing Electoral Lists:                       3.2.4.5.5.5.1    

94    Validate Old Lists:                                  3.2.4.5.5.5.2    

95    Create New Lists:                                    3.2.4.5.5.5.3    

96    Combine Old and New Lists:                           3.2.4.5.5.5.4    

97    Polling / Voting:                                    3.2.4.5.6        

98    Determine Voting Times and Dates:                    3.2.4.5.6.1      

99    Determine Voting / Ballot Locations:                 3.2.4.5.6.2      

100   Determine optimum number of voters per center                         

101   Establish Polls:                                     3.2.4.5.6.3      

102   Create Ballots:                                      3.2.4.5.6.4      

103   Design Ballots:                                      3.2.4.5.6.4.1    

104   Print Ballots:                                       3.2.4.5.6.4.2    

105   Package Ballots:                                     3.2.4.5.6.4.3    

106   Deliver Ballots to Storage Location:                 3.2.4.5.6.4.4    

107   Special Ballot Security Activities:                  3.2.4.5.6.4.5    

108   Deliver Ballots to Polls:                            3.2.4.5.6.5      

109   Cast Votes:                                          3.2.4.5.6.6      

110   Determine Poll Hours of Operation:                   3.2.4.5.6.6.1    

111   Validate Individual Voters at the Poll:              3.2.4.5.6.6.2    

112   Confirm Voter eligibility at Poll:                   3.2.4.5.6.6.2.1  

113   Mark / Identify voter as having voted:               3.2.4.5.6.6.2.2  

114   Collect Ballots:                                     3.2.4.5.6.6.3    

115   Election Polling Place Security:                     3.2.4.5.6.7      

116   Post Election Activities:                            3.2.4.5.7        

117   Tabulate the votes at each polling center/station:   3.2.4.5.7.1      

118   Account for ballots and authenticate the count:      3.2.4.5.7.2      

119   Transport ballot boxes and authentication forms:     3.2.4.5.7.3      

120   Determine Official Winners:                          3.2.4.5.7.4      

121   Announce Results of Election:                        3.2.4.5.7.5      

122   Certify results of election:                         3.2.4.5.7.6      

123   Election Commission Certifies Results:               3.2.4.5.7.6.1    

124   Election Commission hears claims                                      

125   Supreme Court adjudicates election disputes:         3.2.4.5.7.6.2    

126   Statement on election conduct made by Monitors:      3.2.4.5.7.7      

127   Post Election Management Activities:                 3.2.4.5.7.8      

128   Final Determination of Status of Winners and         3.2.4.5.7.8.1    
      Losers:                                                               

129   Preservation of all records:                         3.2.4.5.7.8.2    

130   Conduct Election Education:                          3.2.4.5.8        

131   Train Election Operators:                            3.2.4.5.8.1      

132   Train Election Commission Personnel:                 3.2.4.5.8.1.1    

133   Train Poll Workers:                                  3.2.4.5.8.1.1.1  

134   Train Voter Registration Personnel:                  3.2.4.5.8.1.1.2  

135   Train regular election commission staff:             3.2.4.5.8.1.1.3  

136   Train Local Election Monitors:                       3.2.4.5.8.1.2    

137   Train Election Participants:                         3.2.4.5.8.2      

138   Educate voters:                                      3.2.4.5.8.2.1    

139   Educate voters on registration procedures:           3.2.4.5.8.2.1.1  

140   Educate voters on balloting procedures:              3.2.4.5.8.2.1.2  

141   Educate voters on the implications of the vote:      3.2.4.5.8.2.1.3  

142   Educate Candidates and Party Officials:              3.2.4.5.8.2.2    

143   Educate in Elections procedures and laws:            3.2.4.5.8.2.2.1  

144   Educate in Campaign procedures and laws:             3.2.4.5.8.2.2.2  

145   Educate on administration of the procedures and      3.2.4.5.8.2.2.3  
      laws:                                                                 

146   Education on the Adjudication of disputes:           3.2.4.5.8.2.2.3. 
                                                           1                

147   Education on the appeal process:                     3.2.4.5.8.2.2.3. 
                                                           2                

148   Special Training for Elections:                      3.2.4.5.8.3      

149   Educate Media on the Election Process:               3.2.4.5.8.3.1    

150   Educate Election Security Personnel:                 3.2.4.5.8.3.2    

151   Monitor Election Process:                            3.2.4.5.9        

152   Election Security:                                   3.2.4.5.10       

153   Inauguration:                                        3.2.4.5.11       



Table 4: Election Organizations


I.D.    Election Organization     

 3      Election Institutions     

 3.1    Election Commission       

 3.2    Legistature               

 3.3    Ministries                

 3.3.1  Ministry of Foreign       
        Affairs                   

 3.3.2  Ministry of Health        

 3.3.3  Ministry of Internal      
        Affairs                   

 3.3.4  Ministry of Justice       

 3.3.5  Ministry of Planning      

 3.4    Judicial System           

 3.4.1  Supreme Court             

 3.4.2  Probate Court             

 3.5    Security Apparatus        



Table 5: Election Model Linkages to CMPO


     CMPO ID (Link Name)                      Function Name                



Access Linkages                                                            



3.1.7                          Perform Mediation Services                  

3.2.2.4                        Assist in the Return of Refugees and IDPs   

3.2.4.5.1.4.1                  Determine Access Requirements               

3.2.6.1.1                      Transportation Networks                     

3.2.6.1.3                      Communication Networks                      

3.2.8                          Demining Operations                         

3.3.4.2.7                      Provide Local Transportation                

3.3.5                          Presence                                    





Diplomatic Linkages                                                        



3.1                            Peace Making                                

3.2.4.5.3.2.2                  Coordinate Election Support with            
                               international community                     








Disarmament Linkages                                                       



3.1.5                          Demobilization Negotiations                 

3.1.8                          Sanctions                                   

3.1.9                          Rewards                                     

3.2.4.5.1.2.1                  Disarmament / Demobilization                

3.2.7.1                        Disarmament                                 

3.3.7.4                        Security of Mandate                         





Election Security                                                          
Requirements                                                               



3.1.3                          Negotiations                                

3.2.4.5.4.1.10                 Determine expenses for Security             

3.2.4.5.6.4.5                  Special Ballot Security Activities          

3.2.4.5.6.7                    Election Polling Place Security             

3.2.4.5.8.3.2                  Educate Election Security Personnel         

3.2.4.5.10                     Election Security                           

3.3.5                          Presence                                    

3.3.7                          Security                                    





Financial / Economic Linkages                                              



3.2.4.1                        Institution Building                        

3.2.4.5.4                      Identify Funding and Resources              

3.2.5                          Economic Stability Activities               





General Transportation                                                     
Linkages                                                                   



3.1.6                          Other Treaty Negotiations                   

3.1.8.1.2                      Trade and Travel                            

3.2.4.5.6.5                    Deliver Ballots to Polls                    

3.2.6.1.1                      Transportation Networks                     

3.3.4.2.7                      Provide Local Transportation                

3.3.7.4                        Security of Mandate                         








Geographic/Topographic                                                     
Linkages                                                                   



3.2.4.5.5.2                    Demarcate Constituencies                    

3.2.6                          Infrastructure Activities                   

3.3.2                          Command and Control                         





Judicial Linkages                                                          



3.2.3                          Human Rights Activities                     

3.2.4.2                        Judicial Reconstruction/Support             

3.2.4.5.2.5.3                  Determine Procedure for the investigation   
                               of claims and irregularities                

3.2.4.5.3.1.4                  Provide for adjudication of disputes        

3.3.6                          Liaison                                     





Observation Linkages                                                       



3.1.1                          Situation Awareness                         

3.2.3.1                        Human Rights Monitoring                     

3.2.4.3                        Police Reconstruction/Support               

3.2.4.5.3.3                    Establish Election Oversight Procedures     

3.2.6.1.1                      Transportation Networks                     

3.2.6.1.3                      Communication Networks                      

3.3.1                          Observation                                 

3.3.2.1                        Monitor the Situation                       

3.3.5                          Presence                                    

3.3.6                          Liaison                                     





Planning Linkages                                                          



3.1.2                          Decision Support                            

3.2.4.5.1.3.2.3                Establish/Create Detailed Plan              

3.3.2                          Command and Control                         








Resettlement Linkages                                                      



3.2.1                          Humanitarian Activities                     

3.2.2                          Refugee and Displaced Persons Activities    

3.2.3                          Human Rights Activities                     

3.2.4.5.1.2.2                  Resettlement                                

3.2.5                          Economic Stability Activities               

3.2.6.2                        Virtual Infrastructure                      

3.2.7.2                        Reintegration                               

3.3.1                          Observation                                 

3.3.4.2                        Logistic Support to Peace Building          



Appendix C: Liberian Elections CPM

Figure 2: Summary CPM

Table 6: CPM Full Task List


  ID      Tasks (Including roll up      Duration     Start    Finish     Links   
tasks)                                                        

1      Decision Issues: 3.2.4.5.1      55d         1/20/97   3/15/97             

2      Actions by ECOMOG/ECOWAS        55d         1/20/97   3/15/97             

3      Commitment: 3.2.4.5.1.1         1d          1/20/97   1/20/97             

4      Expressions of Committments     1d          1/20/97   1/20/97             

5      Actions                         1d          1/20/97   1/20/97             

6      Issues of Agreement:            10d         1/21/97   1/31/97   3         
       3.2.4.5.1.2                                                               

7      Cease Fire                      0d          1/21/97   1/21/97             

8      Disengagement                   1d          1/21/97   1/21/97   7         

9      Disarmament / Demobilization:   0d          1/31/97   1/31/97   8         
       3.2.4.5.1.2.1                                                             

10     Resettlement: 3.2.4.5.1.2.2     1d          1/21/97   1/21/97             

11     Repatriation: 3.2.4.5.1.2.3     1d          1/21/97   1/21/97             

12     Readjustment: 3.2.4.5.1.2.4     1d          1/22/97   1/22/97   10,11     

13     Issues of Law: 3.2.4.5.1.3      40d         1/21/97   3/1/97    3         

14     Determine Constitutionality:    25d         1/21/97   2/14/97             
       3.2.4.5.1.3.1                                                             

15     Establish Residency             5w          1/21/97   2/14/97             
       requirements: 3.2.4.5.1.3.1.1                                             

16     Determine Type or System of     5w          1/21/97   2/14/97             
       Election: 3.2.4.5.1.3.1.2                                                 

17     Determine requirements for      5w          1/21/97   2/14/97             
       Absentee Balloting:                                                       
       3.2.4.5.1.3.1.3                                                           

18     Determine Requirements for      5w          1/21/97   2/14/97             
       Party Registration:                                                       
       3.2.4.5.1.3.1.4                                                           

19     Build Confidence in Election    15d         2/15/97   3/1/97    14        
       Commission: 3.2.4.5.1.3.2                                                 

20     Ensure Independence and         3d          2/15/97   2/17/97             
       Impartiality: 3.2.4.5.1.3.2.1                                             

21     Staff and Resources:            2w          2/15/97   2/24/97             
       3.2.4.5.1.3.2.2                                                           

22     Establish/Create Detailed       3w          2/15/97   3/1/97    21SS      
       Plan: 3.2.4.5.1.3.2.3                                                     

23     Make Decision on Census:        40d         1/21/97   3/1/97              
       3.2.4.5.1.3.3                                                             

24     Obtain Census: 3.2.4.5.1.3.4    1d          1/21/97   1/21/97             

25     Conduct Population Survey:      8w          1/21/97   3/1/97              
       3.2.4.5.1.3.5                                                             

26     Review Election Law:            2w          1/21/97   1/30/97             
       3.2.4.5.3.1.1                                                             

27     Amend Election Law if           2w          1/31/97   2/9/97    26        
       necessary: 3.2.4.5.3.1.2                                                  

28     Issues of Action: 3.2.4.5.1.4   5d          1/21/97   1/25/97   3         

29     Determine Access Requirements:  1w          1/21/97   1/25/97             
       3.2.4.5.1.4.1                                                             

30     Determine Status of Winners     1d          1/21/97   1/21/97             
       and Losers: 3.2.4.5.1.4.2                                                 

31     Identify Rules and Procedures:  5d          3/2/97    3/6/97    13        
       3.2.4.5.2                                                                 

32     Determine Offices to be         5d          3/2/97    3/6/97              
       contested: 3.2.4.5.2.1                                                    

33     Choose General Election:        1w          3/2/97    3/6/97              
       3.2.4.5.2.1.1                                                             

34     Choose Special Election:        1w          3/2/97    3/6/97    33SS      
       3.2.4.5.2.1.2                                                             

35     Determine various               1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       qualifications: 3.2.4.5.2.2                                               

36     Determine Qualifications of     1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Voters: 3.2.4.5.2.2.1                                                     

37     Determine Qualifications of     1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Parties: 3.2.4.5.2.2.2                                                    

38     Determine Qualifications of     1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Candidates: 3.2.4.5.2.2.3                                                 

39     Campaign and Nomination         1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Procedures: 3.2.4.5.2.3                                                   

40     Parties Nominate Candidates in  1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Convention: 3.2.4.5.2.3.1                                                 

41     Independent Candidates via      1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Petition: 3.2.4.5.2.3.2                                                   

42     Certify Candidates:             1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       3.2.4.5.2.3.3                                                             

43     Create / Disseminate Candidate  1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Code of conduct: 3.2.4.5.2.3.4                                            

44     Balloting and Counting          1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Procedures: 3.2.4.5.2.4                                                   

45     Confirm / redesign Balloting    1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Procedures: 3.2.4.5.2.4.1                                                 

46     Confirm / redesign Counting     1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Procedures: 3.2.4.5.2.4.2                                                 

47     Post Election Decisions of the  2d          3/2/97    3/3/97              
       Commission: 3.2.4.5.2.5                                                   

48     Determine Procedure for         1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Determination of winners:                                                 
       3.2.4.5.2.5.1                                                             

49     Determine Procedure for         1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Certification: 3.2.4.5.2.5.2                                              

50     Determine Procedure for the     2d          3/2/97    3/3/97              
       investigation of claims and                                               
       irregularities: 3.2.4.5.2.5.3                                             

51     Determine Procedures for the    1d          3/2/97    3/2/97              
       Announcment of Results:                                                   
       3.2.4.5.2.5.4                                                             

52     Perform Election Management:    15d         3/16/97   3/30/97   1         
       3.2.4.5.3                                                                 

53     Establish Election Management   10d         3/16/97   3/25/97             
       Procedures: 3.2.4.5.3.1                                                   

54     Provide for adjudication of     1d          3/16/97   3/16/97             
       disputes: 3.2.4.5.3.1.4                                                   

55     Provide lists of births and     2w          3/16/97   3/25/97             
       deaths: 3.2.4.5.3.1.5                                                     

56     Provide lists of                2w          3/16/97   3/25/97             
       disenfranchized: 3.2.4.5.3.1.6                                            

57     Establish Election Support      5d          3/26/97   3/30/97   66        
       Procedures: 3.2.4.5.3.2                                                   

58     Provide for internal election   1w          3/26/97   3/30/97             
       support mechanisms:                                                       
       3.2.4.5.3.2.1                                                             

59     Coordinate Election Support     1d          3/26/97   3/26/97             
       with international community:                                             
       3.2.4.5.3.2.2                                                             

60     Establish Election Oversight    2d          3/16/97   3/17/97             
       Procedures: 3.2.4.5.3.3                                                   

61     Oversight by GOL                2d          3/16/97   3/17/97             

62     Oversight by Parties and        2d          3/16/97   3/17/97             
       Candidates: 3.2.4.5.3.3.1                                                 

63     Oversight by Media:             2d          3/16/97   3/17/97             
       3.2.4.5.3.3.2                                                             

64     Oversight by Interest Groups:   2d          3/16/97   3/17/97             
       3.2.4.5.3.3.3                                                             

65     Oversight by International      2d          3/16/97   3/17/97             
       Community: 3.2.4.5.3.3.4                                                  

66     Identify Funding and            10d         3/16/97   3/25/97             
       Resources: 3.2.4.5.4                                                      

67     Determine Where Funding is      5d          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       Needed: 3.2.4.5.4.1                                                       

68     Determine Costs for             1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       Communication: 3.2.4.5.4.1.1                                              

69     Determine Costs for Media and   1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       PR: 3.2.4.5.4.1.2                                                         

70     Determine Costs for Rents:      1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       3.2.4.5.4.1.3                                                             

71     Determine Costs for Personnel:  1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       3.2.4.5.4.1.4                                                             

72     Determine Costs for             1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       Stationery: 3.2.4.5.4.1.5                                                 

73     Determine Costs for Printing:   1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       3.2.4.5.4.1.6                                                             

74     Determine Costs for             1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       transportation: 3.2.4.5.4.1.7                                             

75     Determine Costs for Office      1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       Supplies and Equipment:                                                   
       3.2.4.5.4.1.8                                                             

76     Determine Costs for Computers:  1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       3.2.4.5.4.1.9                                                             

77     Determine expenses for          1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       Security: 3.2.4.5.4.1.10                                                  

78     Determine Expenses for Public   1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             
       Education: 3.2.4.5.4.1.11                                                 

79     Determine Contingency Costs     1w          3/16/97   3/20/97             

80     Accumulate Total Cost           1w          3/21/97   3/25/97   67        
       (Budget): 3.2.4.5.4.1.12                                                  

81     Determine Where Funding can be  2d          3/16/97   3/17/97             
       found: 3.2.4.5.4.2                                                        

82     Determine funding available     1d          3/16/97   3/16/97             
       from GOL: 3.2.4.5.4.2.1                                                   

83     Determine funding available     1d          3/17/97   3/17/97   82        
       from International Community:                                             
       3.2.4.5.4.2.2                                                             

84     Energize Funding sources:       1d          3/18/97   3/18/97   81        
       3.2.4.5.4.3                                                               

85     Conduct Election Education:     75d         1/20/97   4/4/97              
       3.2.4.5.8                                                                 

86     Train Election Operators:       10d         3/26/97   4/4/97    53        
       3.2.4.5.8.1                                                               

87     Train Election Commission       1w          3/26/97   3/30/97             
       Personnel: 3.2.4.5.8.1.1                                                  

88     Train Local Election Monitors:  2w          3/26/97   4/4/97              
       3.2.4.5.8.1.2                                                             

89     Train Election Observers (Poll  1w          3/26/97   3/30/97             
       Watchers)                                                                 

90     Train Election Participants:    15d         3/7/97    3/21/97   3,31      
       3.2.4.5.8.2                                                               

91     Educate voters: 3.2.4.5.8.2.1   15d         3/7/97    3/21/97             

92     Educate voters on registration  3w          3/7/97    3/21/97             
       procedures: 3.2.4.5.8.2.1.1                                               

93     Educate voters on balloting     3w          3/7/97    3/21/97             
       procedures: 3.2.4.5.8.2.1.2                                               

94     Educate voters on the           3w          3/7/97    3/21/97             
       implications of the vote:                                                 
       3.2.4.5.8.2.1.3                                                           

95     Educate Candidates and Party    5d          3/7/97    3/11/97             
       Officials: 3.2.4.5.8.2.2                                                  

96     Educate in Elections            1w          3/7/97    3/11/97             
       procedures and laws:                                                      
       3.2.4.5.8.2.2.1                                                           

97     Educate in Campaign procedures  1w          3/7/97    3/11/97             
       and laws: 3.2.4.5.8.2.2.2                                                 

98     Educate on administration of    1w          3/7/97    3/11/97             
       the procedures and laws:                                                  
       3.2.4.5.8.2.2.3                                                           

99     Special Training for            5d          1/20/97   1/24/97             
       Elections: 3.2.4.5.8.3                                                    

100    Educate Media on the Election   1w          1/20/97   1/24/97             
       Process: 3.2.4.5.8.3.1                                                    

101    Educate Election Security       1w          1/20/97   1/24/97             
       Personnel: 3.2.4.5.8.3.2                                                  

102    Conduct Voter Registration:     42d         4/2/97    5/14/97   1,55,56,9 
       3.2.4.5.5                                                       2FS+75%,5 
                                                                       2         

103    Demarcate Constituencies:       20d         4/2/97    4/22/97             
       3.2.4.5.5.2                                                               

104    Compile demographic data        4w          4/2/97    4/22/97             

105    Compile geographic data         4w          4/2/97    4/22/97             

106    Decide location of              1w          4/22/97   4/27/97   103       
       registration stations:                                                    
       3.2.4.5.5.3                                                               

107    Establish registration          3w          4/27/97   5/12/97   106       
       locations: 3.2.4.5.5.4                                                    

108    Build Electoral Rolls:          42d         4/2/97    5/14/97             
       3.2.4.5.5.5                                                               

109    Find Existing Electoral Lists:  1d          4/2/97    4/3/97              
       3.2.4.5.5.5.1                                                             

110    Validate Old Lists:             1d          4/3/97    4/4/97    109       
       3.2.4.5.5.5.2                                                             

111    Create New Lists:               5w          4/4/97    4/29/97   110       
       3.2.4.5.5.5.3                                                             

112    Validation of Voter             3w          4/29/97   5/14/97   111       
       Roles/Roster                                                              

113    Prepare for Polling / Voting:   65.25d      3/16/97   5/20/97   1         
       3.2.4.5.6                                                                 

114    Determine Voting Times and      1d          3/16/97   3/16/97             
       Dates: 3.2.4.5.6.1                                                        

115    Determine Voting / Ballot       1d          5/14/97   5/15/97   103,112   
       Locations: 3.2.4.5.6.2                                                    

116    Determine optimum number of     1d          5/14/97   5/15/97             
       voters per center                                                         

117    Establish Polls: 3.2.4.5.6.3    1w          5/15/97   5/20/97   115,114   

118    Create Ballots: 3.2.4.5.6.4     20d         4/22/97   5/12/97   103       

119    Design Ballots: 3.2.4.5.6.4.1   2w          4/22/97   5/2/97              

120    Print Ballots: 3.2.4.5.6.4.2    1w          5/2/97    5/7/97    119       

121    Package Ballots: 3.2.4.5.6.4.3  1w          5/2/97    5/7/97    120SS     

122    Deliver Ballots to Storage      1w          5/7/97    5/12/97   121       
       Location: 3.2.4.5.6.4.4                                                   

123    Special Ballot Security         1d          5/11/97   5/12/97   119SS,122 
       Activities: 3.2.4.5.6.4.5                                       FF        

124    Conduct the Vote                4d          5/20/97   5/24/97   113,102,1 
                                                                       18        

125    Deliver Ballots to Polls:       2ed         5/20/97   5/22/97   122       
       3.2.4.5.6.5                                                               

126    Cast Votes: 3.2.4.5.6.6         2d          5/22/97   5/24/97   102,125   

127    Determine Poll Hours of         1ed         5/22/97   5/23/97             
       Operation: 3.2.4.5.6.6.1                                                  

128    Validate Individual Voters at   1d          5/23/97   5/24/97   127       
       the Poll: 3.2.4.5.6.6.2                                                   

129    Confirm Voter eligibility at    1ed         5/23/97   5/24/97             
       Poll: 3.2.4.5.6.6.2.1                                                     

130    Mark / Identify voter as        1ed         5/23/97   5/24/97   129SS     
       having voted: 3.2.4.5.6.6.2.2                                             

131    Collect Ballots: 3.2.4.5.6.6.3  1ed         5/23/97   5/24/97   127,128SS 

132    Election Polling Place          1ed         5/23/97   5/24/97   131FS-100 
       Security: 3.2.4.5.6.7                                           %         

133    Post Voting Activities:         44d         5/24/97   7/7/97    124       
       3.2.4.5.7                                                                 

134    Tabulate the votes at each      1ed         5/24/97   5/25/97             
       polling center/station:                                                   
       3.2.4.5.7.1                                                               

135    Account for ballots and         1ed         5/24/97   5/25/97   134SS     
       authenticate the count:                                                   
       3.2.4.5.7.2                                                               

136    Transport ballot boxes and      2ed         5/24/97   5/26/97   135SS     
       authentication forms:                                                     
       3.2.4.5.7.3                                                               

137    Determine Official Winners:     3ed         5/26/97   5/29/97   136       
       3.2.4.5.7.4                                                               

138    Announce Results of Election:   10ed        5/29/97   6/8/97    137       
       3.2.4.5.7.5                                                               

139    Certify results of election:    28d         6/8/97    7/6/97    138       
       3.2.4.5.7.6                                                               

140    Statement on election conduct   1d          6/8/97    6/9/97              
       made by Monitors: 3.2.4.5.7.7                                             

141    Election Commission hears       4w          6/9/97    6/29/97   140       
       claims                                                                    

142    Supreme Court adjudicates       4w          6/9/97    6/29/97   141SS     
       election disputes:                                                        
       3.2.4.5.7.6.2                                                             

143    Election Commission Certifies   7ed         6/29/97   7/6/97    142       
       Results: 3.2.4.5.7.6.1                                                    

144    Post Election Management        1d          7/6/97    7/7/97    139       
       Activities: 3.2.4.5.7.8                                                   

145    Final Determination of Status   1d          7/6/97    7/7/97              
       of Winners and Losers:                                                    
       3.2.4.5.7.8.1                                                             

146    Preservation of all records:    1d          7/6/97    7/7/97              
       3.2.4.5.7.8.2                                                             

147    Monitor Election Process:       1d          3/16/97   3/16/97   1         
       3.2.4.5.9                                                                 

148    Determine need for run-off      1d          7/7/97    7/8/97    133       
       election                                                                  

149    Inauguration: 3.2.4.5.11        1d          7/8/97    7/9/97    148,133,1 
                                                                       47        

150    Election Security               1d          7/9/97    7/10/97   1SS,149   

151    Abuja: 31 January 197           0d          1/31/97   1/31/97             

152    Abuja: 28 February 1997         0d          2/28/97   2/28/97             

153    Abuja: 30 May 1997              0d          5/30/97   5/30/97             

154    Voting Day                      0d          5/24/97   5/24/97   126       

155    Winners Initial Announcement    0d          6/8/97    6/8/97    138       



Table 7: Critical Tasks Only


 Task             Name            Duration     Start       Finish   Links 
    

1       Decision Issues:         55d        1/20/97      3/15/97          
        3.2.4.5.1                                                         

3       Commitment: 3.2.4.5.1.1  1d         1/20/97      1/20/97          

4       Expressions of           1d         1/20/97      1/20/97          
        Committments                                                      

5       Actions                  1d         1/20/97      1/20/97          

13      Issues of Law:           40d        1/21/97      3/1/97     3     
        3.2.4.5.1.3                                                       

14      Determine                25d        1/21/97      2/14/97          
        Constitutionality:                                                
        3.2.4.5.1.3.1                                                     

15      Establish Residency      5w         1/21/97      2/14/97          
        requirements:                                                     
        3.2.4.5.1.3.1.1                                                   

16      Determine Type or        5w         1/21/97      2/14/97          
        System of Election:                                               
        3.2.4.5.1.3.1.2                                                   

17      Determine requirements   5w         1/21/97      2/14/97          
        for Absentee Balloting:                                           
        3.2.4.5.1.3.1.3                                                   

18      Determine Requirements   5w         1/21/97      2/14/97          
        for Party Registration:                                           
        3.2.4.5.1.3.1.4                                                   

19      Build Confidence in      15d        2/15/97      3/1/97     14    
        Election Commission:                                              
        3.2.4.5.1.3.2                                                     

21      Staff and Resources:     2w         2/15/97      2/24/97          
        3.2.4.5.1.3.2.2                                                   

22      Establish/Create         3w         2/15/97      3/1/97     21SS  
        Detailed Plan:                                                    
        3.2.4.5.1.3.2.3                                                   

23      Make Decision on         40d        1/21/97      3/1/97           
        Census: 3.2.4.5.1.3.3                                             

25      Conduct Population       8w         1/21/97      3/1/97           
        Survey: 3.2.4.5.1.3.5                                             

31      Identify Rules and       5d         3/2/97       3/6/97     13    
        Procedures: 3.2.4.5.2                                             

32      Determine Offices to be  5d         3/2/97       3/6/97           
        contested: 3.2.4.5.2.1                                            

33      Choose General           1w         3/2/97       3/6/97           
        Election: 3.2.4.5.2.1.1                                           

34      Choose Special           1w         3/2/97       3/6/97     33SS  
        Election: 3.2.4.5.2.1.2                                           

90      Train Election           15d        3/7/97       3/21/97    "3,31 
        Participants:                                               "     
        3.2.4.5.8.2                                                       

91      Educate voters:          15d        3/7/97       3/21/97          
        3.2.4.5.8.2.1                                                     

92      Educate voters on        3w         3/7/97       3/21/97          
        registration                                                      
        procedures:                                                       
        3.2.4.5.8.2.1.1                                                   

102     Conduct Voter            42d        4/2/97       5/14/97    "1,55 
        Registration: 3.2.4.5.5                                     ,56,9 
                                                                    2FS+7 
                                                                    5%,52 
                                                                    "     

108     Build Electoral Rolls:   42d        4/2/97       5/14/97          
        3.2.4.5.5.5                                                       

109     Find Existing Electoral  1d         4/2/97       4/3/97           
        Lists: 3.2.4.5.5.5.1                                              

110     Validate Old Lists:      1d         4/3/97       4/4/97     109   
        3.2.4.5.5.5.2                                                     

111     Create New Lists:        5w         4/4/97       4/29/97    110   
        3.2.4.5.5.5.3                                                     

112     Validation of Voter      3w         4/29/97      5/14/97    111   
        Roles/Roster                                                      

113     Prepare for Polling /    65.25d     3/16/97      5/20/97    1     
        Voting: 3.2.4.5.6                                                 

115     Determine Voting /       1d         5/14/97      5/15/97    "103, 
        Ballot Locations:                                           112"  
        3.2.4.5.6.2                                                       

116     Determine optimum        1d         5/14/97      5/15/97          
        number of voters per                                              
        center                                                            

117     Establish Polls:         1w         5/15/97      5/20/97    "115, 
        3.2.4.5.6.3                                                 114"  

124     Conduct the Vote         4d         5/20/97      5/24/97    "113, 
                                                                    102,1 
                                                                    18"   

125     Deliver Ballots to       2ed        5/20/97      5/22/97    122   
        Polls: 3.2.4.5.6.5                                                

126     Cast Votes: 3.2.4.5.6.6  2d         5/22/97      5/24/97    "102, 
                                                                    125"  

127     Determine Poll Hours of  1ed        5/22/97      5/23/97          
        Operation:                                                        
        3.2.4.5.6.6.1                                                     

128     Validate Individual      1d         5/23/97      5/24/97    127   
        Voters at the Poll:                                               
        3.2.4.5.6.6.2                                                     

129     Confirm Voter            1ed        5/23/97      5/24/97          
        eligibility at Poll:                                              
        3.2.4.5.6.6.2.1                                                   

130     Mark / Identify voter    1ed        5/23/97      5/24/97    129SS 
        as having voted:                                                  
        3.2.4.5.6.6.2.2                                                   

131     Collect Ballots:         1ed        5/23/97      5/24/97    "127, 
        3.2.4.5.6.6.3                                               128SS 
                                                                    "     

132     Election Polling Place   1ed        5/23/97      5/24/97    131FS 
        Security: 3.2.4.5.6.7                                       -100% 

133     Post Voting Activities:  44d        5/24/97      7/7/97     124   
        3.2.4.5.7                                                         

134     Tabulate the votes at    1ed        5/24/97      5/25/97          
        each polling                                                      
        center/station:                                                   
        3.2.4.5.7.1                                                       

135     Account for ballots and  1ed        5/24/97      5/25/97    134SS 
        authenticate the count:                                           
        3.2.4.5.7.2                                                       

136     Transport ballot boxes   2ed        5/24/97      5/26/97    135SS 
        and authentication                                                
        forms: 3.2.4.5.7.3                                                

137     Determine Official       3ed        5/26/97      5/29/97    136   
        Winners: 3.2.4.5.7.4                                              

138     Announce Results of      10ed       5/29/97      6/8/97     137   
        Election: 3.2.4.5.7.5                                             

139     Certify results of       28d        6/8/97       7/6/97     138   
        election: 3.2.4.5.7.6                                             

140     Statement on election    1d         6/8/97       6/9/97           
        conduct made by                                                   
        Monitors: 3.2.4.5.7.7                                             

141     Election Commission      4w         6/9/97       6/29/97    140   
        hears claims                                                      

142     Supreme Court            4w         6/9/97       6/29/97    141SS 
        adjudicates election                                              
        disputes: 3.2.4.5.7.6.2                                           

143     Election Commission      7ed        6/29/97      7/6/97     142   
        Certifies Results:                                                
        3.2.4.5.7.6.1                                                     

144     Post Election            1d         7/6/97       7/7/97     139   
        Management Activities:                                            
        3.2.4.5.7.8                                                       

145     Final Determination of   1d         7/6/97       7/7/97           
        Status of Winners and                                             
        Losers: 3.2.4.5.7.8.1                                             

146     Preservation of all      1d         7/6/97       7/7/97           
        records: 3.2.4.5.7.8.2                                            

148     Determine need for       1d         7/7/97       7/8/97     133   
        run-off election                                                  

149     Inauguration:            1d         7/8/97       7/9/97     "148, 
        3.2.4.5.11                                                  133,1 
                                                                    47"   

150     Election Security        1d         7/9/97       7/10/97    "1SS, 
                                                                    149"