The Peace Operations Policy Program has hosted
a variety of workshops, brown bags, receptions, and conferences
over the past 10 years. Selected events are presented below:
Stability Operations Army Force Estimator
(SAFE)
19 January 2006
Thomas Szayna, RAND Santa Monica, visited POPP to demonstrate
the Stability Operations Army Force Estimator (SAFE). RAND
Arroyo Center developed the computer program to help Army planners
estimate troop requirements for post-conflict stability and
reconstruction operations. SAFE provides estimates of both
force size and structure requirements on the basis of tasks
assigned to the armed forces. The tool enables planners to
integrate planning for post-conflict operations into overall
campaign planning. It also allows them to come up with a quick
estimate of requirements and explore the effect of different
assumptions about post-conflict conditions on force requirements.
Interim Semi-static Stability Model (ISSM)
and the Defense Modeling and Simulation Office (DMSO) Operations
Other than War (OOTW) Toolbox
6 October 2005
Dean S. Hartley III presented the current state of his research
and development of an OOTW tracking tool. The Interim Static
Stability Model was upgraded to the Interim Semi-static Stability
Model, a full scale Diplomatic, Information, Military, Economic
(DIME) / Political, Military, Economic, Social, Infrastructure,
Information (PMESII) tool. The talk served as a starting point
for a more general and informal discussion of the currently
available tools to support peace, humanitarian and stability
operations; and the analysis of the same.
Brcko—Durable
Model for Peace?
21-22 September 2005
Dr. Allison Frendak-Blume hosted a two-day conference to mark
the 10th anniversary of the Dayton Peace Accords and the 5th
anniversary of the Brcko Final Award, and to address issues
related to the attainment and current status of peace in Brcko.
Keynote speeches were presented by POPP’s Bill Farrand, the
first Supervisor of Brcko (1997-2000), and Susan R. Johnson,
current Supervisor of Brcko (2004- ). The following papers
were delivered:
- Metamorphosis
of the Brcko Police (Donald Grady, Former
Regional Police Commander—Brcko, United Nations Mission
in Bosnia Herzegovina, 1997-98);
- The
Role of Repatriation in Reconstruction (Joel A. Colf, Peace
Operations Policy Program, George Mason University);
- US
Government Assistance to Brcko BiH: An Exploration
of Efficacy, Sustainability and Transferability (Amanda N.Z. Leese, The
Johns Hopkins University);
- The
Arizona Market (Bruce Scott, Harvard Business School);
- Listening
as a Durable Model for Peace: Just Peacemaking (Reverend
John Fair, P2—Planning for Peace);
- Brcko
District: From a Final Award to a Final Solution (Paula-Marie
Drouin, Royal Roads University);
- The
Brcko District—A Model for Solving the Conflict over
Kosovo (Ivan Susak, Elliott School of International Affairs, The George
Washington University); and
- Threats
to Dismantle Brcko District’s Self-Governing Institutions (Henry L. Clarke, Amb. (ret.), Supervisor of Brcko, 2001-03).
The papers are presently being edited for
publication.
State Department International Visitor Leadership
Program Visit
29 April 2005
POPP worked with the Delphi International Program of World
Learning to host a State Department International Visitor Leadership
Program visit for 23 participants representing 21 different
countries in late April 2005. The visitors stopped in Washington,
D.C. as part of a three-week tour of US organizations under
the “International Security and Global Cooperation” project.
The segment at George Mason focused on the training and preparation
of people who will be entering professions related to peacekeeping
and conflict resolution. Amb. (ret.) John McDonald of the Institute
for Multi-Track Diplomacy and Dr. Sara Cobb of the Institute
for Conflict Analysis and Resolution also spoke at the event.
Brown Bag—The Illusion of the Rainbow: Comparative
Evidence on Strategies for Regulating Inter-communal Conflict
in Mauritius and Fiji
14 March 2005
Christian Leuprecht visited POPP to present a brown bag talk
entitled “The Illusion of the Rainbow: Comparative Evidence
on Strategies for Regulating Inter-communal Conflict in Mauritius
and Fiji.” An assistant professor of political science at the
Royal Military College of Canada, the speaker is cross-appointed
to the Department of Political Studies at Queen’s University
where he is also a research associate at the Institute of Intergovernmental
Relations in the School of Policy Studies; and a fellow of
the Queen’s Centre for International Relations.
Summary: In 1994, the United Nations Programme of Action for
the Sustainable Development of Small Island Developing States
(SIDS) was ratified in Barbados. The protocol sought to draw
attention to the particular economic and environmental challenges
faced by SIDS. In January 2005, Mauritius hosted the protocol’s
10-year review. Among the emerging themes was the extent to
which economic and environmental issues are tied to political
stability. Since a majority of the 39 SIDS exhibit a high degree
of ethno-cultural diversity, there is now a growing realization
that managing inter-communal relations is a prerequisite for
achieving economic and environmental goals.
There are four basic strategies for managing ethnic difference:
control, arbitration, autonomy, and consociation. Leuprecht’s
research makes a case in favor of a differential approach to
regulating inter-communal relations. It hypothesizes that the
success of a strategy is contingent upon the context in which
the strategy is deployed. To this end, the investigation has
two SIDS as its dependent variables which, despite being similar
in so many respects, have had very different trajectories.
Although Mauritius’ prospects at independence were somber,
it has turned out to be an economic and political gem. By contrast,
expectations for Fiji, which had been great at independence,
have been dashed by two military coups in as many years. This
investigation attempts to account for these differing outcomes
by “controlling” for a variety of societal and institutional
factors which, for the purposes of this investigation, are
taken as independent variables.
Operations Other Than War Colloquium
25 November 2002 Dean S. Hartley III discussed his work in conducting analyses
of Operations Other Than War (OOTW), with a focus on the recent
revision of the NATO Code of Best Practices (COBP) for analyses
of Command and Control (C2) issues and the ongoing creation
of an OOTW Toolbox by the Defense Modeling and Simulation Office
(DMSO). The COBP revision was the result of a three-year project
to include the problems raised by OOTWs in C2 analyses. The
goal of the OOTW Toolbox project was to create a set of tools
useful in a variety of circumstances, including forward deployment,
for the analysis of OOTW problems.
POPP Honors Faculty Authors
29 April 2002
POPP hosted a reception honoring faculty authors who published
with the Canadian Peacekeeping Press:
- Bringing
Peace to the Land of Scorpions and Jumping Snakes:
Legacy of the United Nations in Eastern Slavonia
and Transitional Missions (Christine Coleiro);
- The
American Experience With Police in Peace Operations (Robert
Perito); and
- Analysis
for Assessment, Evaluation and Crisis Management (A.E.R.
Woodcock and D.F. Davis, eds.).
Other recently published books by POPP associates
include:
- Information
Campaigns for Peace Operations (Kevin Avruch, Jim
Narel, and Pascale Siegel)
- Trumpets
and Tumults - The Memoirs of a Peacekeeper (Indar
Jit Rikhye).
American Civilian Police and International Police Operations:
What Have We Learned and Is There More We Should Do?
13-15 March 2001
POPP and the United States Institute of Peace hosted a symposium
that brought together US civilian police (CIVPOL) officers,
government and intergovernmental officials, and other experts
to detail lessons learned from Americans’ participation in
past policing missions and distinguish concrete recommendations
for improving US capabilities in the future. Four themes framed
the event:
- “The Professional
Challenge”: What should CIVPOL be doing to build sustainable
peace?
- “The Challenge of Differences”: Cross-cultural issues for CIVPOL
in multinational peace operations
- “Addressing the Challenge”: Implementing and coordinating action
in peace operations
- “Preparing for the Challenge”: Training and professionalizing
CIVPOL
Religious Considerations of Peace Operations: The Role of the
Military Chaplain
27-28 April 1999
Dr. Ivan L. King organized a two-day workshop to explore how
military chaplains might be involved in peace support operations,
disaster relief, and other peacekeeping and humanitarian relief
missions. Approximately 45 chaplains participated by delineating
their role and experiences in recent operations. The workshop
revealed that chaplains’ roles had greatly expanded, but were
not buttressed by military policy, doctrine, or training. This
resulted in uncertainty regarding the following:
- To whom were chaplains ministering?
- If the “clients” were military personnel and the population
in the locale of the military operation, how should a chaplain
prioritize his/her time?
- Should boundaries be set on the types of activities chaplains’
should or should not perform?
- Has it been possible for chaplains to remain neutral in conflicts
involving religious dimensions?
- How should chaplains address the human needs they observe directly,
or that are reported to them, particularly if actions to resolve
the matter contradicts the commander’s authority and permission?
Refugee Modeling Workshop
9 October 1997
POPP and Mr. Dayton Maxwell (World Vision International) gathered
together participants to examine questions surrounding refugee
repatriation, rehabilitation, and reconciliation; and the
advisability of modeling refugee processes for subsequent practical
application.
Participants indicated: “Political will is difficult to model—both
from external and the refugees themselves.” “What if they
don’t want to go home?” “We need to know who owns the problem.”
“We
need to connect the cause but avoid the question of conflict
resolution.” “We are not dealing with quantifiables and data
should be quantifiable.” “The model should offer options
and possible solutions.” “What has not come out is what the
refugees
say—their input has not been taken into account.” “What are
the issues and factors to be considered?” “We need to involve
the development agencies from the early stage of relief.”
The Bosnia Force Options Review Panel
12 September 1997
POPP and the Council for a Livable World Education Fund presented
a panel discussion on various force options that might be employed
in Bosnia should American troops participating in NATO’s Stabilization
Force (SFOR) be redeployed in June 1998. A Zero Force (ZFOR),
Transition Force (TFOR), United Nations Force (UNFOR), and
Peace Force (PFOR) were considered in light of different measures:
Measure |
ZFOR |
TFOR |
UNFOR |
PFOR |
| Partition |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
No |
| Tribunal |
No |
Maybe |
Yes |
Yes |
| US Forces |
None |
50% |
Minimal |
10-20% |
| Congress |
Ok |
Maybe |
No |
Yes/No |
| Allies |
No |
Maybe |
No |
Yes/No |
| Time |
Extended |
One
Year |
Extended |
Extended |
| Politically Acceptable |
Maybe |
Yes |
No |
Maybe |
| Long Term Stability |
Maybe |
Maybe |
Yes |
Yes |
| Cost (Current = Large) |
Minimal |
Medium |
Medium |
Medium |
Brcko: Can a Solution be Found?
21 March 1997
POPP partnered with World Vision International and Mercy Corps
International to put on a round table for US official, Bill
Farrand, who had just been named international supervisor of
Brcko. CMPO 1.0 was presented as a framework for basing an
intervention design. Farrand was charged with supervising the
return of refugees, opening highway and river traffic, creating
the foundation for elections, setting up a multi-ethnic police
force, enforcing freedom of movement, and jumpstarting the
economy. Participants indicated: “You need to consider both
micro and macro perspectives and how political will affects
process—can’t do micro and macro only, need to do both.” “Political
will is US will—there is no ‘international’ will.” “It is up
to the American administration to move or not.” “Brcko is a
test case for the Republika Srpska—it is to be treated as an
international city.” “The test of international commitment
revolves around arresting known war criminals in high political
positions. Then the idea of justice can begin to permeate and
demonstrates that backers of peace are willing to take a risk
for peace. Justice is always symbolic, and we need to move
away from the concept of absolute justice.” “Leaders are willing
to listen to ‘welfare of the people’ arguments—it directly
reflects their own interests and the interests of their people.”
“If you have Brcko as the focus you have many foci—need to
expand from just one community to other communities, and up
to regional and other vertical levels.” “Brcko and Mostar are
two case studies that people watch—if nothing happens there,
no one expects anything to happen in other cities in similar
situations.”
The Future of Peacekeeping Efforts in Liberia
19 August 1996
POPP assembled a group of expatriate Liberians representing
all the factions involved in the fighting and a broad range
of the civil populace, along with representatives of the US
Government, nongovernmental organizations, and others interested
in the long-running Liberian crisis to discuss the future of
peacekeeping efforts in the country. Despite their differences,
the Liberians were in agreement on a number of points:
- Neither Liberia nor the international community should allow
pursuing war criminals to interfere with holding free and
fair elections. Only after the seating of a permanent government
should resolution of judicial decisions on war crimes be
pursued.
- There should be no curb on seeking the presidency.
- The US Government should be directly involved in the peace
process to speed and guarantee the procedure.
- A lasting peace could be achieved.
- Disarmament of the fighters was essential and outside international
assistance was needed to accomplish that end. Additionally,
Liberia needed a funded program to provide counseling, jobs,
and training to demobilized ex-combatants.
- Outside international assistance was required to rebuild infrastructure
and jumpstart the Liberian economy.
- UN assistance was needed to return displaced persons and support
the group until their return to self-sufficiency.
- External assistance was essential to re-establish and train
a national police force and national army; and assure free
and fair elections.
- To establish credibility and stability, the international financial
institutions must provide financial advice and oversight
to the Liberian government.
- Initial elections might require modification of constitutional
processes as regards term of office and type of representation.
Discussion revealed
that while virtually all Liberians sought peace and reconciliation,
lasting peace and free and fair elections were far from assured
as long as warlords and faction leaders continued to seize by
force individual wealth and power. For the peace process to be
successful, extraordinary levels of outside assistance and strong
oversight of the processes would be required. Because of the
proliferation of weapons throughout the country, even if a peace
process were implemented there would be long periods of banditry
and armed criminality. Finally, the root causes of the initial
conflict remain present in Liberian society and have been exacerbated
by the conflict—therefore lasting peace is not guaranteed.
Peacekeeping Round Table III: Diplomatic Initiatives for Peacekeeping
29 November 1995
POPP conducted a seminar to distinguish diplomatic aspects
of peacekeeping operations. The panelists, Mr. Michael
Arietti (State Department, Director of Peacekeeping), Ambassador
Emilio
J. Cardenas (Argentine Ambassador to the UN Permanent Mission
of Argentina to the United Nations), Ambassador Allen Holmes
(Assistant Secretary of Defense for Low Intensity Conflict),
Ambassador Dennis McLean (Simmons College), Colonel Angel
Moreno (UN Permanent Mission of Argentina to the United Nations),
Colonel Peter Leentjes (UN Department of Peacekeeping Operations,
Training), and Mr. Cedric Thornberry (Former Assistant
Secretary-General
of the United Nations and Head of UNPROFOR), were asked
to provide their thoughts on the topic. They were then presented
with hypothetical scenarios based in the Great Lakes, South
America, and Central Asia and asked to respond with proposed
actions or requests for clarification.
Peacekeeping Round Table II: Humanitarian Options
19 July 1995
This second of three round tables sought to examine humanitarian
aspects of peacekeeping, recognizing that trying to assist
civilians caught up in violent conflict is what very
often brings about international involvement. Dave Davis (POPP),
Mr. Mark Walsh (US Army Peacekeeping Institute), and
Mr. Andrew
Natsios (World Vision) headed up three panels. The first
looked at operations and tasks to identify what really needs
to be
performed on the ground. The second dealt with coordination
during operations. The third concentrated on logistical
and financial support.
Peacekeeping Round Table I: Military Paradigms of Peacekeeping
19 April 1995
POPP held a round table to identify military aspects of peacekeeping
operations.
Organizing the Community of Nations for Peace Operations
30 August 1994
Articulating the precise goal of a peace operation before it
is mounted is a proper, important, but sometimes unachievable
task. Entry and exit criteria are linked to this procedure,
but may evolve, and in some cases may never be uniformly understood
or embraced by all the participants in an operation. Command
and control capabilities will be both influenced by, and an
influence upon, the nature of the intervention. Humanitarian,
political, and military organizations have separate roles to
play which require coordination at every level. Because the
military contingent controls extensive resources that can be
destructive and/or constructive, its mission must be carefully
determined to ensure it furthers the ultimate political goal.
Unfortunately, this brings one full circle as the political
goal may not always be fully formed. Yet the perceived need
to act in the face of situations that challenge international
stability and bring suffering and death to millions bears upon
us whether or not we can agree upon a formula for shaping international
interventions. This third of three round tables (initiated
in December 1993) posited that the organizational question
could be decomposed into three requirements:
- The structuring of a decision-making apparatus and process
at the level of the Security Council in the United
Nations that can translate a UN mandate into political, military,
and humanitarian goals;
- The creation of peace operation forces with political, military,
and humanitarian components capable of achieving
the goals that make up the mandate; and
- The development of a logistics infrastructure that can provide
effective and efficient support for peace operations.
Pros and cons of
UN approaches and capabilities—and alternative options—were discussed.
The group, moderated by Dr. James Whitman (Cambridge University),
considered the current staff at the DPKO with controlled evolution,
a revitalized Military Staff Committee, a “Chapter 7 Committee,”
and a formal General Staff with an authoritative Chief. Dave
Davis and CAPT Oscar Round’s (NDU) group discussed current ad
hoc arrangements, stand-by forces, prior agreements, and development
of a UN Legion/Peace Force. Finally, a group moderated by BG(P)
Norman E. Williams (J-4, CENTCOM) examined current individualized
infrastructure support, an expanded depot system, stand-by and
pre-identified forces support packages, and use of contractors.
Peace
Keeping Command & Control
Knowledge Engineering Session: An Intervention Decision Model
6 April 1994
Political and military leaders responsible for “keeping the
peace” internationally face a seemingly impossible challenge:
Decisions are made in an environment that is filled with competing
objectives, constrained resources, and significant uncertainty
regarding the consequences of any course of action that might
be pursued. Our “information rich” society overwhelms decision
makers with data of varying degrees of importance, accuracy,
and reliability. The objective of this session was to distinguish
those key values and uncertainties that impact any intervention
decision to develop a “scenario independent” decision support
system.
Entrance and Exit Criteria—How Developed and How Assessed?
5 April 1994
Four panels comprised of distinguished individuals from the
Departments of State and Defense, academia, nongovernmental
organizations, and foreign governments participated in this
second of three round tables (initiated in December 1993) and
asked: How do we determine the benefits of getting involved
in peace operations? When should these operations change form?
How should they be terminated? It was determined that entrance
and exit criteria must be developed well prior to the commitment
of troops or other resources. Difficulties in doing so are
caused by the political nature of the questions, and the lack
of clear pathways for moving forward. Discussants believed
the information to develop criteria usually were available,
but not necessarily to the decision maker, causing them to
act as if working in an information-sparse environment. This
perception regarding “lack of information” tended to encourage
fully subjective and politically motivated decision processes.
Clarity of purpose and criteria also emerged as a central theme,
with several proposals offered to mitigate the problem. Finally,
the role of nongovernmental actors and humanitarian action
formed a large part of the conversation with the major point:
“Humanitarian action is not and should not be an instrument
of policy. It should be respected in terms of its essential
nature to respect and protect human life. The implementation
of humanitarianism is obviously a political act. Humanitarian
action and humanitarian intervention has been used by warring
parties to advance their own interests.”
Policy Implications of Command and Control in Multinational
Peace Support Operations
10 December 1993
This first of three round tables sponsored by The Institute
of Public Policy (TIPP), US Army Peacekeeping Institute (PKI),
and US Army Model Improvement and Study Management Agency (MISMA)
was conducted to investigate the relationship between command
and control (C2) and international peace operation mission
accomplishment, working under the assumption that C2 requirements
have a reflexive influence on policy making. Participants include
senior representatives from US government agencies and the
military services. C2 was not considered in the narrow sense
of mechanisms for issuing orders and receiving feedback, but
more broadly, including the interface among political, military,
and humanitarian activities; and among strategic, operational,
and tactical choices. The discussion centered around five topics:
- Analysis
of the Conflict – Peacekeeping is in vogue, but is
it effective? Would conflicts be better off
if left alone? As decisions are made about the involvement of nations
(and the UN in a conflict), it is important to understand the
genesis of the conflict and its current dynamic. Participants noted:
“If peace is order plus justice, we’re losing.”
“There isn’t an answer in peacekeeping—peacekeeping is holding action
at heart to allow other answers—there may not be any.” “There
is no such thing as low intensity conflict
when you’re the guy on the ground.”
- Goals,
Missions, and Objectives – In the crush of a conflict
situation with the need to do something quickly
and CNN filming, it is imperative that goals, missions, and objectives are
clear. The development of proper goals and objectives and their
translation to the military mission are C2 matters. Participants
spent much time examining goal development and the need for their
common understanding by various intervenors.
- Decision
Making – If the situation and mission are understood,
how are options then generated? In national
military operations the operations officer and commander fulfill this role.
In peace support operations, the decision-making body is a collective
and the decision itself may be a suboptimal
consensus for one or all members of that group. Some suggested: “Peace operations
have three components—political, military,
and
humanitarian—so have experts from those areas involved in planning
from Day One.” “All military decisions are based on political decisions.”
“We need to clarify the language—we need to
get this typology structured in such a way that most of us will agree that
we understand.”
- Force
Structuring – There is a difference between a coalition
and a practiced military alliance. NATO members
have been exercising together for 40 years and still must allocate resources
toward
interoperability. Development of an ad hoc
coalition comprised
of dissimilar states’ militaries with differing
abilities and mandates is an art form. Participants remarked: “We don’t have
high speed thinking in the notion of coalitions.”
“Interoperability has to be present at three levels—technical, procedural,
and doctrinal.” “Have a sufficient number of forces sufficiently
trained and equipped to really get the job
done.”
- Force
Command and Authority – Field commanders desire a superior
from whom they may seek help or redress. Conversely,
a commander must be able to issue orders to subordinates and reasonably
assume they will be carried out. In ad hoc
coalitions, many commanders must partition their subordinates into “will do’s”
and “may do’s.” Invitees stated: “You can have
larger forces but if they are not all responding to the same command
it’s not going to do much.” “Provide the force commander with
sufficient C2 authority.” “Connectivity is based on force of personality.”
“You have two cultures that clash. A liberal
young person—a ‘do-gooder,’ Peace Corps type. I’m a Neanderthal, conservative—we’re
off to a wrong start to begin with even though
both are
well-intentioned and motivated.” “The command problem is so much
more
apparent in any operation where there is major American involvement
because there is no subordination of the American
headquarters to the UN.”
Command and Control Domain Model Workshop
29 April 1993
Robert Might and Dave Davis (The Center of Excellence in Command,
Control, Communications, and Intelligence) conducted a workshop
to preview a “Command and Control Domain Model” created by
GMU and GTE Federal Systems Division under DARPA’s Domain Specific
Software Architecture (DSSA) program. Participants were asked
to assist in validating the model by commenting on the relationship
between command and control (C2) and international peace operation
mission accomplishment, working under the assumption that C2
requirements have a reflexive influence on policy making.
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